Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.105787 0.160974 0.225920 0.305580 0.398570 0.501929 0.623866
2026-02-01 0.030540 0.085236 0.167053 0.283483 0.434221 0.614746 0.840329
2026-02-08 0.004645 0.042614 0.121505 0.251115 0.433304 0.663169 0.961135
2026-02-15 0.000003 0.022780 0.098605 0.241302 0.455424 0.735914 1.108645
2026-02-22 NaN 0.013554 0.088571 0.246627 0.495196 0.829091 1.279910
2026-03-01 NaN 0.006328 0.075901 0.243707 0.520855 0.902443 1.425516
2026-03-08 NaN 0.001380 0.059313 0.228810 0.525768 0.946187 1.532084
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000820 0.061977 0.251399 0.588411 1.068863 1.741123
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000463 0.064948 0.274548 0.652120 1.193374 1.953114
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000072 0.063361 0.287325 0.699189 1.294938 2.135467
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000062 0.069777 0.318192 0.775758 1.438078 2.372898
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000002 0.071527 0.338383 0.835129 1.557409 2.579452
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.065205 0.340501 0.867287 1.642131 2.745631
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.048888 0.314582 0.851611 1.658978 2.822611
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.032549 0.280849 0.818793 1.648728 2.861410
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.025441 0.270264 0.824729 1.693554 2.973301
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.023412 0.275966 0.859952 1.781498 3.143777
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.019446 0.272851 0.878394 1.844356 3.280106
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.013338 0.256992 0.871547 1.868699 3.363349
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.015763 0.281032 0.941748 2.009653 3.607311
2026-06-14 NaN NaN 0.018348 0.305609 1.013031 2.152386 3.853963
2026-06-21 NaN NaN 0.018587 0.319150 1.063122 2.263262 4.057036
2026-06-28 NaN NaN 0.022955 0.351800 1.150099 2.430003 4.337186